One-step Outcome Imputation: An Alternative to Multiple Imputation

Missing outcomes in randomized controlled trials are often handled by multiple imputation (MI). Rubin's rules are routinely used to estimate standard errors but can fail to provide valid standard error estimates for some commonly used procedures, such as reference-based imputation. We propose a one-step alternative by explicitly targeting the treatment effect implied by a given imputation model and constructing an efficient one-step estimator for that treatment effect via its influence function. Unlike Rubin's rules, this approach yields asymptotically valid inference. Moreover, the proposed method circumvents the stochastic component and computational burden of MI. We illustrate the approach with examples spanning a range of imputation models, including reference-based imputation and intercurrent-event-dependent imputation.