pith. sign in

arxiv: 1112.0770 · v2 · pith:SHE4NDSVnew · submitted 2011-12-04 · 💱 q-fin.ST

Non-Gaussianity of the Intraday Returns Distribution: its evolution in time

classification 💱 q-fin.ST
keywords distributionreturnstimeduringevolutionintradaykurtosisp-kurtosis
0
0 comments X
read the original abstract

We find a remarkable time persistence of various proxies for the kurtosis (p-kurtosis) of the intraday returns distribution for the S&P500 index and this permits a significant measure of their evolution from 1983 to 2004. There appears a long time scale dramatic variation of the p-kurtosis uncorrelated with the variation of the volatility thus falsifying any hypothesis of a universal shape for the probability distribution of the returns. A large increase in the kurtosis anticipates the October 87 crash. During the years 1991-2003 it continuously decreases even when the volatility grows during the dot-com bubble. We propose some speculative interpretations of these results.

This paper has not been read by Pith yet.

discussion (0)

Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.