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Uncertainty Quantification and Decomposition for LLM-based Recommendation

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arxiv 2501.17630 v2 pith:UXJVE3CA submitted 2025-01-29 cs.IR cs.CL

classification cs.IRcs.CL
keywords uncertaintyrecommendationsllmspredictiverecommendationllm-basedreliabilitydemonstrate
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Despite the widespread adoption of large language models (LLMs) for recommendation, we demonstrate that LLMs often exhibit uncertainty in their recommendations. To ensure the trustworthy use of LLMs in generating recommendations, we emphasize the importance of assessing the reliability of recommendations generated by LLMs. We start by introducing a novel framework for estimating the predictive uncertainty to quantitatively measure the reliability of LLM-based recommendations. We further propose to decompose the predictive uncertainty into recommendation uncertainty and prompt uncertainty, enabling in-depth analyses of the primary source of uncertainty. Through extensive experiments, we (1) demonstrate predictive uncertainty effectively indicates the reliability of LLM-based recommendations, (2) investigate the origins of uncertainty with decomposed uncertainty measures, and (3) propose uncertainty-aware prompting for a lower predictive uncertainty and enhanced recommendation. Our source code and model weights are available at https://github.com/WonbinKweon/UNC_LLM_REC_WWW2025

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Cited by 1 Pith paper

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Do LLM Recommenders Know When They're Hallucinating? Auditing Confidence Calibration in Catalog Faithfulness

    cs.IR 2026-08 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Verbalized confidence from four zero-shot LLM recommenders is systematically under-confident and cannot separate correct items from catalog hallucinations, so confidence-gated abstention barely reduces hallucination.

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