Empirical study of Polymarket order book data yields eight stylized facts on spreads, depth, and trading, plus evidence that public feeds infer trade direction accurately only 59% of the time, requiring on-chain records.
SoK : Market microstructure for decentralized prediction markets ( DePMs )
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A unified relational dataset suite for Polymarket prediction markets integrating over 770k markets, 943M trades, and 2M oracle events with a reproducible collection pipeline.
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The Anatomy of a Decentralized Prediction Market: Microstructure Evidence from the Polymarket Order Book
Empirical study of Polymarket order book data yields eight stylized facts on spreads, depth, and trading, plus evidence that public feeds infer trade direction accurately only 59% of the time, requiring on-chain records.
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Unlocking the Forecasting Economy: A Suite of Datasets for the Full Lifecycle of Prediction Market: [Experiments \& Analysis]
A unified relational dataset suite for Polymarket prediction markets integrating over 770k markets, 943M trades, and 2M oracle events with a reproducible collection pipeline.