Polymarket exhibits a longshot spread premium, geometric order depth, low wash trading, and only 59% agreement between public order book and on-chain trade directions.
SoK : Market microstructure for decentralized prediction markets ( DePMs )
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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A unified relational dataset suite for Polymarket prediction markets integrating over 770k markets, 943M trades, and 2M oracle events with a reproducible collection pipeline.
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The Anatomy of a Decentralized Prediction Market: Microstructure Evidence from the Polymarket Order Book
Polymarket exhibits a longshot spread premium, geometric order depth, low wash trading, and only 59% agreement between public order book and on-chain trade directions.
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Unlocking the Forecasting Economy: A Suite of Datasets for the Full Lifecycle of Prediction Market: [Experiments \& Analysis]
A unified relational dataset suite for Polymarket prediction markets integrating over 770k markets, 943M trades, and 2M oracle events with a reproducible collection pipeline.