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Toward Simultaneously Optimal Regret in U-Calibration

stat.ML · 2026-06-16 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

A new FTPL algorithm with self-concordant perturbations achieves tilde O(sqrt(T)) regret for all bounded proper losses and O(log T) regret for bounded smooth proper losses in U-calibration.

Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration

cs.LG · 2026-05-10 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0 · 2 refs

A single algorithm for online multicalibration achieves instance-adaptive rates by dynamically refining a dyadic prediction grid, recovering the worst-case Õ(T^{2/3}) bound and improving to Õ(√T) in marginal stochastic settings and Õ(√(JT)) for J-piecewise stationary means.

Theoretical Foundations of Conformal Prediction

math.ST · 2024-11-18 · unverdicted · novelty 2.0

The book curates and presents proofs of important existing results in conformal prediction in a unified pedagogical format with illustrations.

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  • Theoretical Foundations of Conformal Prediction math.ST · 2024-11-18 · unverdicted · none · ref 31

    The book curates and presents proofs of important existing results in conformal prediction in a unified pedagogical format with illustrations.