Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.
Watt-Meyer, B
3 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
3
Pith papers citing it
years
2026 3verdicts
UNVERDICTED 3representative citing papers
A framework builds stable neural models of turbulent dynamics by enforcing energy-preserving nonlinearities and causal constraints in discrete-time flow maps, demonstrated on Charney-DeVore and Lorenz-96 systems.
DroughtFormer predicts soil moisture, vegetation health, and related variables in Africa with skill out to 90 days that matches or exceeds climatology for most targets, but shows lower accuracy for precipitation and flash drought indices.
citing papers explorer
-
Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction
Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.