Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.
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2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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2026 2verdicts
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Extends Potential CRPS with weights and IDR post-processing to enable fair comparisons of AIWP and NWP models on extreme weather, finding AI models more informative across most variables and thresholds.
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Towards Fair Comparisons of AI- and Physics-Based Weather Models for Extreme Events via the Weighted Potential CRPS
Extends Potential CRPS with weights and IDR post-processing to enable fair comparisons of AIWP and NWP models on extreme weather, finding AI models more informative across most variables and thresholds.