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arxiv: cond-mat/0004170 · v1 · pith:IAPIQQNZnew · submitted 2000-04-11 · ❄️ cond-mat · nlin.CD· physics.data-an

Multifractality in Time Series

classification ❄️ cond-mat nlin.CDphysics.data-an
keywords timemultifractalitydisplaysfoundindexlagsphaseseries
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We apply the concepts of multifractal physics to financial time series in order to characterize the onset of crash for the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index x(t). It is found that within the framework of multifractality, the "analogous" specific heat of the S&P500 discrete price index displays a shoulder to the right of the main peak for low values of time lags. On decreasing T, the presence of the shoulder is a consequence of the peaked, temporal x(t+T)-x(t) fluctuations in this regime. For large time lags (T>80), we have found that C_{q} displays typical features of a classical phase transition at a critical point. An example of such dynamic phase transition in a simple economic model system, based on a mapping with multifractality phenomena in random multiplicative processes, is also presented by applying former results obtained with a continuous probability theory for describing scaling measures.

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