Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

As of 10 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 12 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2206.15474.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2206.15474 v2

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 12 of 12 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00

measured 12 of 12 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T04:29:41.260444Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.669131Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation f9828a89-a1a4-4c55-8a63-67ecea5018c4 · inbound

Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters cites this paper.

Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:03:13.238164Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8a627cc6-e1e6-4218-9782-d04bf14298e5 · inbound

Predicting Empirical AI Research Outcomes with Language Models cites this paper.

Predicting Empirical AI Research Outcomes with Language Models Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:05:56.920833Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 76de89ba-1457-4131-8c3c-865cf441ccdf · inbound

Prediction Arena: Benchmarking AI Models on Real-World Prediction Markets cites this paper.

Prediction Arena: Benchmarking AI Models on Real-World Prediction Markets Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-14T22:58:14.120525Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 4b54543b-0f50-4b36-a968-28c50aa743d6 · inbound

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents cites this paper.

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 16

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T09:03:25.221160Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation c5d743f5-ee4d-4b41-9d3f-7c465d013b39 · inbound

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents cites this paper.

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 16

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T04:00:56.111332Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 9c17a808-1cbb-43c6-b716-66cc98e2d3c8 · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 51

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T12:06:01.812866Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 091028c6-1861-459b-970a-1c9c8e2cc0b8 · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 51

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T19:33:20.775008Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 517a1e7d-8956-4faf-8a5d-c6054b78bd3e · inbound

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most cites this paper.

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 43

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-22T05:24:38.192593Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 8777b6de-d343-4262-a224-ff1581ab0d58 · inbound

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most cites this paper.

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 43

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-25T06:05:26.153290Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation d229ea84-9cf2-4a51-a485-c325dcb1b1bd · inbound

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning cites this paper.

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 47

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.671142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 3e4da9bb-2081-479f-8ea3-bc82ed514a84 · inbound

SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution cites this paper.

SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 159

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-05T04:17:18.873907Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c6448369-9826-4938-a15f-1708e7716a46 · inbound

SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution cites this paper.

SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 159

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T04:29:41.260444Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.