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Domain-Adaptive Neural Posterior Estimation for Strong Gravitational Lens Analysis

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arxiv 2410.16347 v1 pith:QT3XQOKK submitted 2024-10-21 astro-ph.IM astro-ph.COastro-ph.GAcs.AIcs.CVcs.LG

classification astro-ph.IMastro-ph.COastro-ph.GAcs.AIcs.CVcs.LG
keywords datadomainposteriorstronganalysisbeencombinationestimation
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Modeling strong gravitational lenses is prohibitively expensive for modern and next-generation cosmic survey data. Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based inference (SBI) approach, has been studied as an avenue for efficient analysis of strong lensing data. However, NPE has not been demonstrated to perform well on out-of-domain target data -- e.g., when trained on simulated data and then applied to real, observational data. In this work, we perform the first study of the efficacy of NPE in combination with unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA). The source domain is noiseless, and the target domain has noise mimicking modern cosmology surveys. We find that combining UDA and NPE improves the accuracy of the inference by 1-2 orders of magnitude and significantly improves the posterior coverage over an NPE model without UDA. We anticipate that this combination of approaches will help enable future applications of NPE models to real observational data.

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  1. Does Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Improve the Robustness of Amortized Bayesian Inference? A Systematic Evaluation

    stat.ML 2025-02 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Aligning simulated and observed summaries improves neural Bayesian inference under likelihood misspecification but degrades it under prior misspecification.

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