Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

As of 16 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 100 of 144 outbound references and 10 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2506.18183.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.18183 v3

Coverage vector

measured 100 of 144 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:26.101766Z

measured 110 of 110 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00

measured 10 of 10 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-15T15:48:29.367522Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-03T15:18:33.036767Z

Reference resolution

100 of 144 outbound references displayed

verified exact1
verified fuzzy1
unresolved98
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation a3449500-9e17-4ce9-91f4-fa84c998b667 · outbound

This paper cites Semantically diverse language generation for uncertainty estimation in language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Semantically diverse language generation for uncertainty estimation in language models

Reference 1

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Observation b3d4c763-d87d-4d4c-b59a-10454e946f41 · outbound

This paper cites Claude 3.7 sonnet system card.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Claude 3.7 sonnet system card

Reference 2

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Observation d9873f2f-5af4-41a6-b503-04c32d81ab9f · outbound

This paper cites American Invitational Mathematics Examination.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? American Invitational Mathematics Examination

Reference 3

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Observation b4d8c8ef-9970-4f0b-8c1b-976cb5d34737 · outbound

This paper cites The Internal State of an LLM Knows When It's Lying.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? The Internal State of an LLM Knows When It's Lying

Reference 4

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Observation fee883b5-7de3-42f9-8363-1112cc34cc89 · outbound

This paper cites Hallucination of Multimodal Large Language Models: A Survey.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Hallucination of Multimodal Large Language Models: A Survey

Reference 5

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Observation 110d8804-264f-48bb-9493-f04b5a9affe6 · outbound

This paper cites Probing classifiers: Promises, shortcomings, and advances.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Probing classifiers: Promises, shortcomings, and advances

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.008341Z

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Observation f867afe4-8cd9-4693-8fa4-188fd7064844 · outbound

This paper cites Graph of thoughts: Solving elaborate problems with large language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Graph of thoughts: Solving elaborate problems with large language models

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.015027Z

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Observation 8de52d01-a7bb-4cb1-866a-c8ddba743135 · outbound

This paper cites Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.044744Z

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Observation 73fed3ac-c32c-4424-987d-535437ef2b76 · outbound

This paper cites Transcoders Find Interpretable LLM Feature Circuits.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Transcoders Find Interpretable LLM Feature Circuits

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.072683Z

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Observation ab522ab3-6853-492d-9b96-6cd507d73f33 · outbound

This paper cites Fact-Checking the Output of Large Language Models via Token-Level Uncertainty Quantification.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Fact-Checking the Output of Large Language Models via Token-Level Uncertainty Quantification

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.087470Z

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Observation eff680c5-b3b1-4909-879a-d61e61fe83b0 · outbound

This paper cites Do I Know This Entity? Knowledge Awareness and Hallucinations in Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Do I Know This Entity? Knowledge Awareness and Hallucinations in Language Models

Reference 11

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Observation 06bc22f9-f26b-40f0-96fe-8a9f1529c248 · outbound

This paper cites Complexity-Based Prompting for Multi-Step Reasoning.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Complexity-Based Prompting for Multi-Step Reasoning

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.163472Z

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Observation a30b3f90-1ec0-4926-83b9-0a140e854523 · outbound

This paper cites Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders

Reference 13

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Observation eb2cd74b-d17e-4ccc-90e5-813ee1e0053e · outbound

This paper cites Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Are Key-Value Memories.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Are Key-Value Memories

Reference 14

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Observation 0822b37d-8065-41a9-afa8-0cf84abcbc89 · outbound

This paper cites Did aristotle use a laptop? a question answering benchmark with implicit reasoning strategies.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Did aristotle use a laptop? a question answering benchmark with implicit reasoning strategies

Reference 15

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Observation e212ffb8-6e9a-40da-8dd5-1bdba1b81166 · outbound

This paper cites Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation

Reference 16

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Observation ceeec05f-8406-4a39-9bbc-6a804d80939e · outbound

This paper cites Weinberger.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Weinberger

Reference 17

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Observation 52bfd314-fee9-4fe3-953f-c7cfc557594a · outbound

This paper cites DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning

Reference 18

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Observation 4b0e6d69-e3e1-4dd2-9dfd-436582a82f08 · outbound

This paper cites Reasoning with Language Model is Planning with World Model.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Reasoning with Language Model is Planning with World Model

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.383861Z

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Observation 133cf5fd-32ee-407d-9e8a-9c7fd5dcb72c · outbound

This paper cites LLM Reasoners: New Evaluation, Library, and Analysis of Step-by-Step Reasoning with Large Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? LLM Reasoners: New Evaluation, Library, and Analysis of Step-by-Step Reasoning with Large Language Models

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.390374Z

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Observation b4348aeb-c0bd-4445-988e-80fb5820410a · outbound

This paper cites Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.444872Z

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Observation 9172ae89-0ab1-4c26-a5a9-6dfa2e32a735 · outbound

This paper cites Double checking: a second look.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Double checking: a second look

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.471067Z

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Observation ba3ee280-a3cb-4e16-80ea-9a7d8c5263f2 · outbound

This paper cites Towards Reasoning in Large Language Models: A Survey.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Towards Reasoning in Large Language Models: A Survey

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.486433Z

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Observation 24e1f9fb-2d0e-4b4d-8816-8fff25f037db · outbound

This paper cites GPT-4o System Card.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? GPT-4o System Card

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.492395Z

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Observation c00ce30b-07f5-42e9-8998-897e915a1172 · outbound

This paper cites OpenAI o1 System Card.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? OpenAI o1 System Card

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.507347Z

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Observation 7539fc12-5004-42bd-91c2-76b33ac99a13 · outbound

This paper cites Hands-on bayesian neural networks—a tutorial for deep learning users.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Hands-on bayesian neural networks—a tutorial for deep learning users

Reference 26

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Observation 6a4b0f35-e45a-477e-951f-fd9ce6a64da0 · outbound

This paper cites Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.524541Z

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Observation f6cabe16-dcf0-4919-ba82-2430a5da11bd · outbound

This paper cites Large language models are zero-shot reasoners.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Large language models are zero-shot reasoners

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.541688Z

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Observation ae469e34-bd07-42a3-ba43-8d63be80e648 · outbound

This paper cites Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.563400Z

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Observation 90686938-2f67-476e-91bf-11805596d043 · outbound

This paper cites Introspective planning: Aligning robots’ uncertainty with inherent task ambiguity.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Introspective planning: Aligning robots’ uncertainty with inherent task ambiguity

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.580261Z

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Observation b59785ee-6bc9-4059-adb9-bd6fb872014a · outbound

This paper cites Uncertainty decomposition and quantification for in-context learning of large language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Uncertainty decomposition and quantification for in-context learning of large language models

Reference 31

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Observation b7749d68-aa44-44cf-9721-d2a18ee77809 · outbound

This paper cites A Survey on Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? A Survey on Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Models

Reference 32

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Observation c9e60727-ed1f-4d35-a846-fe271db21582 · outbound

This paper cites SelfCheckGPT: Zero-Resource Black-Box Hallucination Detection for Generative Large Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? SelfCheckGPT: Zero-Resource Black-Box Hallucination Detection for Generative Large Language Models

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.620370Z

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Observation cb654f81-4a6a-49b8-9b9d-b255e6459343 · outbound

This paper cites Reducing conversational agents’ overconfidence through linguistic calibration.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Reducing conversational agents’ overconfidence through linguistic calibration

Reference 34

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Observation ae2c5a79-415b-4978-9fa9-106b16396cc2 · outbound

This paper cites Codeforces.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Codeforces

Reference 35

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Observation ec343a37-cfc1-4043-a183-1f050c2443b2 · outbound

This paper cites Naeini, Gregory Cooper, and Milos Hauskrecht.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Naeini, Gregory Cooper, and Milos Hauskrecht

Reference 36

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Observation 2684fb69-8d32-4b95-98c7-6abccdcd9fae · outbound

This paper cites GPT-4 Technical Report.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? GPT-4 Technical Report

Reference 37

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Observation 504dbff8-29c9-447f-a129-e0d0ff03b87c · outbound

This paper cites Openai o3-mini system card.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Openai o3-mini system card

Reference 38

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Observation 6872fc92-8e36-45c0-a174-b72b28e44a4b · outbound

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Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark

Reference 39

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Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Ren, and Anirudha Majumdar

Reference 40

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This paper cites Confidence and accuracy in deductive reasoning.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Confidence and accuracy in deductive reasoning

Reference 41

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.835371Z

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Observation f7eeeae3-da7f-4904-bdb1-3df3fbed135e · outbound

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Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Controlling Style in Generated Dialogue

Reference 42

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Observation ff968efa-cfb6-4539-9d2f-8b52d3b3b1e7 · outbound

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Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Codebook Features: Sparse and Discrete Interpretability for Neural Networks

Reference 43

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Observation 84eb8f88-7dea-4ffc-9421-987e3b0413eb · outbound

This paper cites Quantifying uncertainty in natural language explanations of large language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Quantifying uncertainty in natural language explanations of large language models

Reference 44

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.922217Z

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Observation 62aac99d-c1de-4e2a-8b3e-67baf873e39d · outbound

This paper cites Gemini 1.5: Unlocking multimodal understanding across millions of tokens of context.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Gemini 1.5: Unlocking multimodal understanding across millions of tokens of context

Reference 45

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.936442Z

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Observation 58196a22-abb0-4259-a826-b115de14dd3f · outbound

This paper cites Qwq-32b: Embracing the power of reinforcement learning, March 2025.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Qwq-32b: Embracing the power of reinforcement learning, March 2025

Reference 46

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:21.979870Z

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Observation 54c42534-296b-4e84-9d02-2f824336c9ce · outbound

This paper cites Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedback.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedback

Reference 47

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.043040Z

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Observation 6d50ae87-e67d-4528-bfb7-da28bcfe0d8c · outbound

This paper cites Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models

Reference 48

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Observation 4bc3e7e8-3ee8-49e9-ba61-570cd4ede83d · outbound

This paper cites Chain-of-thought prompting elicits reasoning in large language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Chain-of-thought prompting elicits reasoning in large language models

Reference 49

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.102936Z

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Observation 4089ce7a-91ae-4ff1-a2f0-0ea4f506acc8 · outbound

This paper cites Measuring short-form factuality in large language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Measuring short-form factuality in large language models

Reference 50

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Observation e0fbf1ee-6233-4750-8f6a-a52811ae92a5 · outbound

This paper cites Reasoning or reciting? exploring the capabilities and limitations of language models through counterfactual tasks.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Reasoning or reciting? exploring the capabilities and limitations of language models through counterfactual tasks

Reference 51

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.118131Z

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Observation 5282d6b4-039b-4ecb-b492-aec326f6da9f · outbound

This paper cites On Hallucination and Predictive Uncertainty in Conditional Language Generation.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? On Hallucination and Predictive Uncertainty in Conditional Language Generation

Reference 52

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Observation 30ac7926-34c4-4cb7-9930-c4f43237be67 · outbound

This paper cites Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs

Reference 53

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Observation c888a044-c037-4d46-aa45-5abe62d9d723 · outbound

This paper cites Tree of thoughts: Deliberate problem solving with large language models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Tree of thoughts: Deliberate problem solving with large language models

Reference 54

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Observation 6ab3120a-86e1-49ed-8614-9869f6fa2814 · outbound

This paper cites Transformer visualization via dictionary learning: contextualized embedding as a linear superposition of transformer factors.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Transformer visualization via dictionary learning: contextualized embedding as a linear superposition of transformer factors

Reference 55

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Observation e4120254-8da4-4e06-a9d1-67555713e564 · outbound

This paper cites R-tuning: Instructing large language models to say ‘i don’t know’.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? R-tuning: Instructing large language models to say ‘i don’t know’

Reference 56

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.205091Z

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Observation 219c57ad-6ee5-42e7-9f00-11ac9900702c · outbound

This paper cites Automatic Chain of Thought Prompting in Large Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Automatic Chain of Thought Prompting in Large Language Models

Reference 57

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.231291Z

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Observation 60680d8d-c51f-4d08-b339-dfd34086a1e1 · outbound

This paper cites Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models

Reference 58

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.245193Z

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Observation cad3447e-7117-45f4-8b4a-ab7436558ee7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 59

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.271603Z

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Observation f8ba01ec-ea80-4ea2-804b-1566636c18f5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 60

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.304735Z

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Observation 94e449d1-ec0f-4f89-9bef-f6b1fe67ec54 · outbound

This paper cites Analysis of the connectivity shows that nucleophilic attack leads to a five-carbon chain where the benzyl group ends up at one end.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Analysis of the connectivity shows that nucleophilic attack leads to a five-carbon chain where the benzyl group ends up at one end

Reference 61

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.339585Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 5bc78282-5e0b-4267-8bb6-ae2b3fb191ec · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 62

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.369840Z

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Observation 8279d110-2f30-4168-a16e-bb0e21f50b47 · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 63

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.414820Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7c6f3fa2-70ed-4a4b-9e5c-7c5970dd51ff · outbound

This paper cites {C, 95} IUQ-Low: Here’s my reasoning trace:.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? {C, 95} IUQ-Low: Here’s my reasoning trace:

Reference 64

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.444437Z

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Observation f16f4f7f-08b6-4045-84aa-ca7e6e615323 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 65

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.494747Z

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Observation 25b85d27-6bd4-48e8-8531-3decb1ddbcb6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 66

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.565599Z

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Observation 1b1defd8-a924-4d7a-b739-4a7cbe9d9531 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 67

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.609770Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 7538d280-403d-44b0-a6c7-632bfde80535 · outbound

This paper cites {rec, 95} 28 o3-Mini (Continued) IUQ-Medium: Below is my reasoning trace and final evaluation:.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? {rec, 95} 28 o3-Mini (Continued) IUQ-Medium: Below is my reasoning trace and final evaluation:

Reference 68

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.654752Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 4f9ef99c-74c9-4275-87c9-945763661f69 · outbound

This paper cites Although the idea of a polarity inversion is mentioned, the trace does not detail why the (Z)-isomer is favored over a possible (E)-isomer.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Although the idea of a polarity inversion is mentioned, the trace does not detail why the (Z)-isomer is favored over a possible (E)-isomer

Reference 69

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.704746Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 08cc5fa7-c451-423b-a78d-2f72c616eb5f · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 70

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.774745Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 938f35d0-4d0e-44df-94c0-5b2d2d78615c · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 71

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.837504Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation bf50dd68-37e1-4815-96ea-5d45cbfe80b4 · outbound

This paper cites umpolars.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? umpolars

Reference 72

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.897874Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 204d9a74-22ac-4719-8dbe-2de55dc60ace · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 73

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.939389Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 6e003c41-2b6a-4972-87cb-50e12bf40c97 · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 74

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:22.973481Z

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Observation 7bfbabcf-cc51-487e-adb1-93f3100ac637 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 75

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.011743Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation eed8625d-7f93-40bd-bf96-b0e54324a6cd · outbound

This paper cites {rec, 80} 29 Claude First round: I need to determine the products of two different reactions.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? {rec, 80} 29 Claude First round: I need to determine the products of two different reactions

Reference 76

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.054239Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 9412749e-8c4f-491a-93a0-71642a7334d3 · outbound

This paper cites Let’s analyze the starting material: • It’s a benzyl ether of 3-methylbut-2-en-1-ol • Structure: Ph-CH 2-O-CH2-C(CH3)=CH-CH3 The mechanism:.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Let’s analyze the starting material: • It’s a benzyl ether of 3-methylbut-2-en-1-ol • Structure: Ph-CH 2-O-CH2-C(CH3)=CH-CH3 The mechanism:

Reference 77

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.133793Z

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Observation ac7afb4b-b53b-4313-84ce-ecd765f003f9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 78

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.204830Z

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Observation 5cd9d589-bb68-46c9-add6-8c8c4e2c2970 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 79

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.281523Z

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Observation b44fe8aa-b666-4b3e-b615-43b4bb406593 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 80

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.364744Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 4b5732aa-4ddd-407f-9996-73f5c855a13c · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 81

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.449253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 31746c06-e8e2-43d0-b3f3-10d4149252c4 · outbound

This paper cites • BuLi deprotonates the benzylic position (Ph-CH 2-O-), forming an anion at the benzylic carbon.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? • BuLi deprotonates the benzylic position (Ph-CH 2-O-), forming an anion at the benzylic carbon

Reference 82

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.521875Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 37cf4834-8be8-45bd-8529-2944f2e7d37f · outbound

This paper cites dimethylene.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? dimethylene

Reference 83

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.632709Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 66b50bcc-4f40-4383-aff9-1a51ef62808c · outbound

This paper cites • Options (B), (C), and (D) all fail due to mismatches: (B) and (C) have incorrect stereochem- istry/structure for A, while (B) and (D) have incorrect saturation for B.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? • Options (B), (C), and (D) all fail due to mismatches: (B) and (C) have incorrect stereochem- istry/structure for A, while (B) and (D) have incorrect saturation for B

Reference 84

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.770661Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 67cf90f5-13c5-4775-90ff-ab97cb406f5a · outbound

This paper cites The logic for product identification and option elimination is robust.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? The logic for product identification and option elimination is robust

Reference 85

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:23.876390Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation bec6dffa-bca5-4ae9-8867-ead2e7450bf5 · outbound

This paper cites • BuLi deprotonates the allylic position (alpha to oxygen) in the 3-methylbut-2-en-1-yl group, forming an anion at −O-CH−-CH=C(CH3)2.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? • BuLi deprotonates the allylic position (alpha to oxygen) in the 3-methylbut-2-en-1-yl group, forming an anion at −O-CH−-CH=C(CH3)2

Reference 86

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:24.044076Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ccfc745c-6507-411e-8898-f0fab78e1fe2 · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 87

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:24.158121Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 51bf9925-e36f-4d03-bae5-c37b8585b45c · outbound

This paper cites major products,.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? major products,

Reference 88

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:24.324827Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 25452856-d022-4164-9201-19867bc3a605 · outbound

This paper cites • Flaw: The deprotonation site is incorrect.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? • Flaw: The deprotonation site is incorrect

Reference 89

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:24.494751Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 588e1f32-92bb-4dd9-84f0-e0d27f91e630 · outbound

This paper cites hexahydro.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? hexahydro

Reference 90

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:24.644988Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 27945f9d-7c0f-4b94-96ca-d2ac85d16c34 · outbound

This paper cites Canis Major.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Canis Major

Reference 91

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:24.869981Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 4d26d7de-9900-419d-93d6-a945f7075077 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 92

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.020689Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation c2879ea8-3855-4b5e-b442-03b1f9301fc6 · outbound

This paper cites Greater Dog.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Greater Dog

Reference 93

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.146873Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 82b165d9-345f-4c10-a31d-f5e113ec0460 · outbound

This paper cites These are all factually accurate statements.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? These are all factually accurate statements

Reference 94

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.315270Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation d7d41584-5ee3-41e1-b666-fdc3459bac34 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 95

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.436767Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 66370d52-ad5a-44f8-9c80-73f2eda6186d · outbound

This paper cites Canis Major.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Canis Major

Reference 96

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.544759Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 1b98f753-53dd-4120-b306-b4d4e3072890 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 97

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.664833Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 552a677b-f46c-4913-bea3-c1694c488c50 · outbound

This paper cites This is astronomically accurate information.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? This is astronomically accurate information

Reference 98

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.826223Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 6084d9d7-88db-4848-85c7-e0ad9dcc71f9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Unresolved cited work

Reference 99

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:25.975256Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 366ae7bd-b5c9-4d37-ab19-33cbba4df7f0 · outbound

This paper cites Greater Dog.

Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know? Greater Dog

Reference 100

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T23:28:52.244837Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Pith citing papers

Observation 811df846-6c78-45de-aa79-9906a465ac88 · inbound

Towards Concise and Adaptive Thinking in Large Reasoning Models: A Survey cites this paper.

Towards Concise and Adaptive Thinking in Large Reasoning Models: A Survey Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 131

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T17:54:17.467638Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 0f3f3df2-8d33-4d61-b7b8-cfd456907e6a · inbound

Position: The Hidden Costs and Measurement Gaps of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards cites this paper.

Position: The Hidden Costs and Measurement Gaps of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 20

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-18T14:26:28.406138Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation b1283772-e7af-489d-8915-047f62e9a393 · inbound

Position: The Hidden Costs and Measurement Gaps of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards cites this paper.

Position: The Hidden Costs and Measurement Gaps of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T15:48:29.367522Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1c31a105-572b-405a-8965-6e76d0184c65 · inbound

When to Act, Ask, or Learn: Uncertainty-Aware Policy Steering cites this paper.

When to Act, Ask, or Learn: Uncertainty-Aware Policy Steering Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 18

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T19:00:15.407744Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 2a7e6c72-cb4d-4321-8423-576de713d3e0 · inbound

How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidence cites this paper.

How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidence Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 12

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-21T10:40:00.608508Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation db3b4fe7-8dec-4368-a0b7-1071fe9af8c6 · inbound

Unsupervised Confidence Calibration for Reasoning LLMs from a Single Generation cites this paper.

Unsupervised Confidence Calibration for Reasoning LLMs from a Single Generation Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 180

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T03:14:07.762821Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 208998c0-3132-4499-baf8-7e42c94bbcbf · inbound

Large Language Models Decide Early and Explain Later cites this paper.

Large Language Models Decide Early and Explain Later Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 9

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T19:21:09.342627Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 746b8823-88b4-436d-a039-f7f7f7f7601a · inbound

Operadic consistency: a label-free signal for compositional reasoning failures in LLMs cites this paper.

Operadic consistency: a label-free signal for compositional reasoning failures in LLMs Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 32

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T15:18:33.038441Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 278165cf-38f6-40fb-b2fc-36130fad3558 · inbound

When Calibration Rankings Reverse: Accuracy-Controlled Evaluation for Fair Comparison of LLMs cites this paper.

When Calibration Rankings Reverse: Accuracy-Controlled Evaluation for Fair Comparison of LLMs Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 144

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-01T12:15:43.673943Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

Observation 4dbaaabd-e84e-45f2-8b5e-4f4ca5c364b8 · inbound

Scaling with Confidence: Calibrating Confidence of LLMs for Adaptive Test Time Scaling cites this paper.

Scaling with Confidence: Calibrating Confidence of LLMs for Adaptive Test Time Scaling Reasoning about Uncertainty: Do Reasoning Models Know When They Don't Know?

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T14:58:32.553829Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.