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arxiv 2304.01385 v6 pith:BXZIL2SZ submitted 2023-04-03 econ.TH cs.GT

Should the Timing of Inspections be Predictable?

classification econ.TH cs.GT
keywords agentinspectionsworkoptimalprincipalratearrivalbreakdowns
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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A principal hires an agent to work on a long-term project that culminates in a breakthrough or a breakdown. At each time, the agent privately chooses to work or shirk. Working increases the arrival rate of breakthroughs and decreases the arrival rate of breakdowns. To motivate the agent to work, the principal conducts costly inspections. She fires the agent if shirking is detected. We characterize the principal's optimal inspection policy. Predictable inspections are optimal if work primarily generates breakthroughs. Random inspections are optimal if work primarily prevents breakdowns. Crucially, the agent's actions affect the survival rate of the project, which determines his risk attitude over the timing of planned inspections.

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Cited by 1 Pith paper

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  1. Data-Driven Monitoring and Deterrence in a Changing Environment

    econ.TH 2024-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    In a bandit monitoring model with hidden Markov state evolution, the principal's informational motive to explore functions as an endogenous commitment device that strictly lowers equilibrium infraction rates.