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arxiv 1705.01069 v3 pith:TLXZ53HQ submitted 2017-05-02 q-fin.MF

Pricing Variance Swaps on Time-Changed Markov Processes

classification q-fin.MF
keywords markovprocessvariancearbitraryclockcontractfunctionprocesses
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We prove that the variance swap rate (fair strike) equals the price of a co-terminal European-style contract when the underlying is an exponential Markov process, time-changed by an arbitrary continuous stochastic clock, which has arbitrary correlation with the driving Markov process, provided that the payoff function $G$ of the European contract satisfies an ordinary integro-differential equation, which depends only on the dynamics of the Markov process, not on the clock. We present examples of Markov processes where the function $G$ that prices the variance swap can be computed explicitly. In general, the solutions $G$ are not contained in the logarithmic family previously obtained in the special case where the Markov process is a L\'evy process.

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