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2026 10

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PRCD-MAP: Learning How Much to Trust Imperfect Priors in Causal Discovery

stat.ML · 2026-05-03 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

PRCD-MAP assigns per-edge trust to imperfect priors in causal discovery via empirical Bayes calibration and MLP propagation, delivering an ε-safety guarantee that vanishes at prior-quality extremes and empirical gains on CausalTime datasets.

To Use AI as Dice of Possibilities with Timing Computation

cs.AI · 2026-05-01 · unverdicted · novelty 4.0

Proposes possibility space, timing computation, and causal factum as a new framework for data-driven trajectory discovery and counterfactual timing deduction on EHR data from 3,276 breast cancer patients.

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