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arxiv: 2205.13935 · v4 · pith:HKF6OUETnew · submitted 2022-05-27 · 📊 stat.ME · cs.LG· stat.ML

Detecting hidden confounding in observational data using multiple environments

classification 📊 stat.ME cs.LGstat.ML
keywords confoundinghiddenassumptiondataobservationalwhencasescausal
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A common assumption in causal inference from observational data is that there is no hidden confounding. Yet it is, in general, impossible to verify this assumption from a single dataset. Under the assumption of independent causal mechanisms underlying the data-generating process, we demonstrate a way to detect unobserved confounders when having multiple observational datasets coming from different environments. We present a theory for testable conditional independencies that are only absent when there is hidden confounding and examine cases where we violate its assumptions: degenerate & dependent mechanisms, and faithfulness violations. Additionally, we propose a procedure to test these independencies and study its empirical finite-sample behavior using simulation studies and semi-synthetic data based on a real-world dataset. In most cases, the proposed procedure correctly predicts the presence of hidden confounding, particularly when the confounding bias is large.

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Cited by 1 Pith paper

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Markovianity-Based Conditioning Depth Diagnostics for Hidden Confounding in Observational Datasets

    stat.AP 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    A diagnostic that measures instability of constraint-based causal graphs over increasing conditioning depths to detect hidden confounding or incomplete state in time series observational data.