The origin of spin in binary black holes: Predicting the distributions of the main observables of Advanced LIGO

We study the formation of coalescing binary black holes via the evolution of isolated field binaries that go through the common envelope phase in order to obtain the combined distributions of the main observables of Advanced LIGO. We used a hybrid technique that combines the parametric binary population synthesis code COMPAS with detailed binary evolution simulations performed with the MESA code. We then convolved our binary evolution calculations with the redshift- and metallicity-dependent star-formation rate and the selection effects of gravitational-wave detectors to obtain predictions of observable properties. By assuming efficient angular momentum transport, we are able to present a model that is capable of simultaneously predicting the three main gravitational-wave observables: the effective inspiral spin parameter $\chi_{eff}$, the chirp mass $M_{chirp}$, and the cosmological redshift of merger $z_{merger}$. We find an excellent agreement between our model and the ten events from the first two advanced detector observing runs. We make predictions for the third observing run O3 and for Advanced LIGO design sensitivity. We expect around 80% of events with $\chi_{eff} < 0.1$, while the remaining 20% of events with $\chi_{eff} \ge 0.1$ are split into ~10% with $M_{chirp} < 15$ M$_\odot$ and ~10% with $M_{chirp} \ge 15$ M$_\odot$. In conclusion, the favorable comparison of the existing LIGO/Virgo observations with our model predictions gives support to the idea that the majority, if not all of the observed mergers, originate from the evolution of isolated binaries. The first-born black hole has negligible spin because it lost its envelope after it expanded to become a giant star, while the spin of the second-born black hole is determined by the tidal spin up of its naked helium star progenitor by the first-born black hole companion after the binary finished the common-envelope phase.