Auto-calibration of forecast sequences equals measure-valued martingales, enabling a statistical test for calibration of updating predictions.
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6 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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2026 6verdicts
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Introduces Trajectory Proper Score (TPS) as a strictly proper family of trajectory-level scoring rules that elicits the complete prefix-conditioned success probability process.
A single end-to-end Transformer model unifies stellar labels from heterogeneous spectroscopic surveys into a self-consistent scale without post-hoc recalibration.
Stochastic Attention adds calibrated uncertainty to transformer foundation models through inference-time multinomial sampling of attention weights and univariate post-hoc tuning of a concentration parameter.
RECAP benchmark finds that six prompt optimization methods show no significant performance gains under proactive continual adaptation to evolving constraints across four LLMs.
Neural network classification with CRPS optimization produces calibrated photometric redshift PDFs for DESI Legacy and Pan-STARRS data, achieving σ_NMAD of 0.0153 on LSDR10 and outperforming regression methods.
citing papers explorer
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Calibrated Probability Forecast Sequences and Measure-Valued Martingales
Auto-calibration of forecast sequences equals measure-valued martingales, enabling a statistical test for calibration of updating predictions.
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Proper Scoring Rules for Agentic Uncertainty Quantification
Introduces Trajectory Proper Score (TPS) as a strictly proper family of trajectory-level scoring rules that elicits the complete prefix-conditioned success probability process.
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Homogeneous Stellar Parameters from Heterogeneous Spectra with Deep Learning
A single end-to-end Transformer model unifies stellar labels from heterogeneous spectroscopic surveys into a self-consistent scale without post-hoc recalibration.
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Calibrating Scientific Foundation Models with Inference-Time Stochastic Attention
Stochastic Attention adds calibrated uncertainty to transformer foundation models through inference-time multinomial sampling of attention weights and univariate post-hoc tuning of a concentration parameter.
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RECAP: Regression Evaluation for Continual Adaptation of Prompts
RECAP benchmark finds that six prompt optimization methods show no significant performance gains under proactive continual adaptation to evolving constraints across four LLMs.
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Photometric Redshift PDFs via Neural Network Classification for DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys and Pan-STARRS
Neural network classification with CRPS optimization produces calibrated photometric redshift PDFs for DESI Legacy and Pan-STARRS data, achieving σ_NMAD of 0.0153 on LSDR10 and outperforming regression methods.