Only two of seven LLMs produce positive returns on live Polymarket data, with MiMo-V2-Flash at 17.6% CWR and Gemini-3-Flash at 6.2% CWR while the other five lose money.
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BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Finance
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abstract
The use of NLP in the realm of financial technology is broad and complex, with applications ranging from sentiment analysis and named entity recognition to question answering. Large Language Models (LLMs) have been shown to be effective on a variety of tasks; however, no LLM specialized for the financial domain has been reported in literature. In this work, we present BloombergGPT, a 50 billion parameter language model that is trained on a wide range of financial data. We construct a 363 billion token dataset based on Bloomberg's extensive data sources, perhaps the largest domain-specific dataset yet, augmented with 345 billion tokens from general purpose datasets. We validate BloombergGPT on standard LLM benchmarks, open financial benchmarks, and a suite of internal benchmarks that most accurately reflect our intended usage. Our mixed dataset training leads to a model that outperforms existing models on financial tasks by significant margins without sacrificing performance on general LLM benchmarks. Additionally, we explain our modeling choices, training process, and evaluation methodology. We release Training Chronicles (Appendix C) detailing our experience in training BloombergGPT.
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AutoRedTrader generates synthetic financial misinformation via behavioral bias manipulation and agent feedback to red-team LLM trading agents, reaching 69% exposure and 26.67% attack success on Bitcoin data simulations.
Constrained LLM agents discover cryptocurrency factors that produce a portfolio with 44.55% annualized return and Sharpe ratio of 1.55 in pure out-of-sample 2024-2026 testing after trading costs.
AWASH detects AI-washing via cross-modal inconsistency reasoning on a new trimodal benchmark of 88k corporate disclosure triplets, achieving F1 0.882 with a CMID network that grounds claims against patents and hiring data.
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Stateful sessions with incremental KV cache and flash queries allow O(|q|) latency in streaming transformer inference, delivering up to 5.9x speedup over conventional engines while preserving full attention.
FinAgent-RAG achieves 76.81-78.46% execution accuracy on financial QA benchmarks by combining contrastive retrieval, program-of-thought code generation, and adaptive strategy routing, outperforming baselines by 5.62-9.32 points.
Encoder models trained on SEC filings struggle with earnings calls due to domain shift, while LLMs enable open-ended KPI extraction with 79.7% human-verified precision on newly introduced benchmarks.
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QRAFTI is a multi-agent framework using tool-calling and reflection-based planning to emulate quant research tasks like factor replication and signal testing on financial data.
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