Calypso is a parameter-conditioned stochastic surrogate model for circumbinary accretion flows using PCA and multivariate Gaussian modeling, released as open-source software with a closed-form likelihood for parameter inference from time series.
Duffell and Daniel D'Orazio and Andrea Derdzinski and Zoltan Haiman and Andrew MacFadyen and Anna L
11 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Targeted PTA searches for CWs from 114 AGN in NANOGrav 15 yr data yield no detections, factor-of-two tighter limits than all-sky searches, and updated constraints ruling out part of the parameter space for a binary in 3C 66B.
Simulations show the accretion rate PSD in a q=0.2 SMBH binary is a broken power-law with white noise to -4 slope transition at ~5 times orbital frequency due to damped random walk gas delivery and minidisk filtering.
Self-consistent thermal regulation in circumbinary disks permits long-lived non-accretion phases that suppress binary feeding rates toward the Eddington limit while leaving optical/near-IR detectability intact.
Population synthesis from binary evolution models predicts periodic neutron star-companion interactions in more than half of surviving hydrogen-poor core-collapse supernovae, with periods peaking at 20-50 days and lasting 0.5-10 years.
Mixture model analysis of LIGO data identifies a ~10% high-spin subpopulation with a1 ≈ 0.9 matching AGN accretion predictions, disfavoring hierarchical mergers at a1 ≈ 0.7 for that group.
Semi-analytical theory derives radial scalings for forced disk eccentricity (E ~ r^{-1} or r^{-2}) and resonance criteria for precessing binaries, plus a conjecture that cavity size tunes the ground eccentric mode to the binary precession frequency.
Nonlinear shock formation dominates angular momentum deposition from planet-induced density waves, cooling matches it for sub-thermal planets, and viscosity only matters at unrealistically high values.
LILA can detect IMBH binaries at redshifts 20-30, IMRIs, and provide months-to-years early warnings with high-SNR events for gravity tests.
Sustained mass transfer from a circumbinary disc enables giant planet formation in gamma-Cephei-like binaries by prolonging the lifetime of the circumprimary disc against truncation and photoevaporation.
A large collaboration compiles and compares merger rate predictions for massive black holes across multiple galaxy formation models to forecast LISA detections and quantify uncertainties.
citing papers explorer
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\texttt{calypso}: a Parameter-Conditioned Stochastic Surrogate Model for Circumbinary Accretion Time-Series
Calypso is a parameter-conditioned stochastic surrogate model for circumbinary accretion flows using PCA and multivariate Gaussian modeling, released as open-source software with a closed-form likelihood for parameter inference from time series.
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The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Targeted Searches for Supermassive Black Hole Binaries
Targeted PTA searches for CWs from 114 AGN in NANOGrav 15 yr data yield no detections, factor-of-two tighter limits than all-sky searches, and updated constraints ruling out part of the parameter space for a binary in 3C 66B.
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Stochastic Variability of Binary Accretion
Simulations show the accretion rate PSD in a q=0.2 SMBH binary is a broken power-law with white noise to -4 slope transition at ~5 times orbital frequency due to damped random walk gas delivery and minidisk filtering.
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Dynamics and detectability of long-lived non-accretion phases for massive black hole binaries in cold, thermally regulating disks
Self-consistent thermal regulation in circumbinary disks permits long-lived non-accretion phases that suppress binary feeding rates toward the Eddington limit while leaving optical/near-IR detectability intact.
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Neutron star-companion interaction in core collapse supernovae. Population synthesis based on detailed binary evolution models
Population synthesis from binary evolution models predicts periodic neutron star-companion interactions in more than half of surviving hydrogen-poor core-collapse supernovae, with periods peaking at 20-50 days and lasting 0.5-10 years.
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High-Spin BBH Subpopulation from AGN Accretion
Mixture model analysis of LIGO data identifies a ~10% high-spin subpopulation with a1 ≈ 0.9 matching AGN accretion predictions, disfavoring hierarchical mergers at a1 ≈ 0.7 for that group.
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Insights from Analytical Theory of Eccentric Circumbinary Disks II. Forced Modes and Resonance for Precessing Binaries
Semi-analytical theory derives radial scalings for forced disk eccentricity (E ~ r^{-1} or r^{-2}) and resonance criteria for precessing binaries, plus a conjecture that cavity size tunes the ground eccentric mode to the binary precession frequency.
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$\alpha\beta q_\mathrm{th}$-mapping of planet-induced density wave damping in protoplanetary discs
Nonlinear shock formation dominates angular momentum deposition from planet-induced density waves, cooling matches it for sub-thermal planets, and viscosity only matters at unrealistically high values.
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Black Hole Binary Detection Landscape for the Laser Interferometer Lunar Antenna (LILA): Signal-to-Noise Calculations & Science Cases
LILA can detect IMBH binaries at redshifts 20-30, IMRIs, and provide months-to-years early warnings with high-SNR events for gravity tests.
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A formation pathway for giant planets in S-type discs of {\gamma}-Cephei-like compact binaries
Sustained mass transfer from a circumbinary disc enables giant planet formation in gamma-Cephei-like binaries by prolonging the lifetime of the circumprimary disc against truncation and photoevaporation.
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The LISA Astrophysics MBHcatalogues Project: A comparison of predictions of simulated massive black hole binaries
A large collaboration compiles and compares merger rate predictions for massive black holes across multiple galaxy formation models to forecast LISA detections and quantify uncertainties.