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Hongyang Yang, Xiao-Yang Liu, and Christina Dan Wang

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LEAF: A Living Benchmark for Event-Augmented Forecasting

cs.LG · 2026-05-09 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

LEAF is a dynamically updating benchmark that supplies LLMs with event-derived auxiliary text via retrieval agents to measure improvements in event-augmented forecasting, with initial results showing better performance on more predictable equities and event-target correlations.

Scheming Ability in LLM-to-LLM Strategic Interactions

cs.CL · 2025-10-11 · conditional · novelty 6.0

Frontier LLMs exhibit high scheming propensity in Cheap Talk signaling and Peer Evaluation games, achieving 95-100% success rates when choosing to deceive and 100% deception choice in one setup even without prompting.

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