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Large Magellanic Cloud Cepheid Standards Provide a 1% Foundation for the Determination of the Hubble Constant and Stronger Evidence for Physics Beyond LambdaCDM

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abstract

We present an improved determination of the Hubble constant (H0) from Hubble Space Telescope (HST) observations of 70 long-period Cepheids in the Large Magellanic Cloud. These were obtained with the same WFC3 photometric system used to measure Cepheids in the hosts of Type Ia supernovae. Gyroscopic control of HST was employed to reduce overheads while collecting a large sample of widely-separated Cepheids. The Cepheid Period-Luminosity relation provides a zeropoint-free link with 0.4% precision between the new 1.2% geometric distance to the LMC from Detached Eclipsing Binaries (DEBs) measured by Pietrzynski et al (2019) and the luminosity of SNe Ia. Measurements and analysis of the LMC Cepheids were completed prior to knowledge of the new LMC distance. Combined with a refined calibration of the count-rate linearity of WFC3-IR with 0.1% precision (Riess et al 2019), these three improved elements together reduce the full uncertainty in the LMC geometric calibration of the Cepheid distance ladder from 2.5% to 1.3%. Using only the LMC DEBs to calibrate the ladder we find H0=74.22 +/- 1.82 km/s/Mpc including systematic uncertainties, 3% higher than before for this particular anchor. Combining the LMC DEBs, masers in NGC 4258 and Milky Way parallaxes yields our best estimate: H0 = 74.03 +/- 1.42 km/s/Mpc, including systematics, an uncertainty of 1.91%---15% lower than our best previous result. Removing any one of these anchors changes H0 by < 0.7%. The difference between H0 measured locally and the value inferred from Planck CMB+LCDM is 6.6+/-1.5 km/s/Mpc or 4.4 sigma (P=99.999% for Gaussian errors) in significance, raising the discrepancy beyond a plausible level of chance. We summarize independent tests which show this discrepancy is not readily attributable to an error in any one source or measurement, increasing the odds that it results from a cosmological feature beyond LambdaCDM.

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Damped Harmonic Oscillator Dark Energy and the Hubble Tension

astro-ph.CO · 2026-06-16 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

Damped harmonic oscillator dark energy EoS fitted to CMB+BAO+BBN+chronometers+SNIa data yields H0 values reducing tension to 1.4 sigma for DESY5/Union3 while Pantheon+ prefers near-critical damping; Bayesian evidence inconclusive vs LambdaCDM.

skysurvey: a pure python package to simulate the transient sky

astro-ph.IM · 2026-05-25 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

skysurvey provides a Python framework with Target, Survey, and DataSet classes plus modeldag to simulate transient sky observations, demonstrated on Type Ia supernovae populations and ZTF DR2 replication.

Self-Interaction of Super-Resonant Dark Matter

hep-ph · 2025-11-12 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

Super-resonant dark matter at O(100) GeV masses amplifies self-scattering and annihilation cross sections via combined resonance and Sommerfeld effects, necessitating coupled Boltzmann equations to match observed relic density.

Non-minimally coupled quintessence with sign-switching interaction

astro-ph.CO · 2026-04-02 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

A new quintessence model with non-minimal coupling produces an effective sign-switching interaction that fits current data better than LambdaCDM or w0waCDM and accounts for late-time dark energy weakening without phantom crossing.

Mapping the Universe as a Bianchi I cosmology with Gaia data

astro-ph.CO · 2026-05-28 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

Gaia quasar proper motions show a significant quadrupole signal matching an axisymmetric Bianchi I anisotropy model, but the amplitude does not increase with redshift as the model requires and the inferred local shear exceeds expectations.

Cosmological perturbations of TDiff fields

gr-qc · 2026-05-18 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

This work constructs perturbation theory for TDiff scalar fields in cosmology, analyzes pressure perturbations and adiabaticity including multi-field interaction effects, and checks stability via effective sound speed.

From Scalar $H_0$ to $E(z)$: A Reformulation of the Hubble Tension

astro-ph.CO · 2026-05-07 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

Re-expressing the Hubble tension via posterior-implied E(z) histories yields moderate mismatches (S_hist of 1.65 and 2.55) that correspond to only 1.1-2.1 sigma equivalents, below the usual 4.9 sigma scalar-H0 discrepancy.

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