GI BAO provides a robust consistency check for density BAO and shear data, with the first photometric measurement on DES Y3 showing agreement at α = 0.966 ± 0.252.
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The CosmoVerse White Paper: Addressing observational tensions in cosmology with systematics and fundamental physics
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abstract
The standard model of cosmology has provided a good phenomenological description of a wide range of observations both at astrophysical and cosmological scales for several decades. This concordance model is constructed by a universal cosmological constant and supported by a matter sector described by the standard model of particle physics and a cold dark matter contribution, as well as very early-time inflationary physics, and underpinned by gravitation through general relativity. There have always been open questions about the soundness of the foundations of the standard model. However, recent years have shown that there may also be questions from the observational sector with the emergence of differences between certain cosmological probes. In this White Paper, we identify the key objectives that need to be addressed over the coming decade together with the core science projects that aim to meet these challenges. These discordances primarily rest on the divergence in the measurement of core cosmological parameters with varying levels of statistical confidence. These possible statistical tensions may be partially accounted for by systematics in various measurements or cosmological probes but there is also a growing indication of potential new physics beyond the standard model. After reviewing the principal probes used in the measurement of cosmological parameters, as well as potential systematics, we discuss the most promising array of potential new physics that may be observable in upcoming surveys. We also discuss the growing set of novel data analysis approaches that go beyond traditional methods to test physical models. [Abridged]
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representative citing papers
Galaxy pairwise peculiar velocities from Cosmicflows-4 yield M_ν = 0.24^{+0.34}_{-0.18} eV and η² = 2.14^{+0.30}_{-0.32} (7σ non-zero asymmetry) in the CMB framework, consistent with prior Planck results.
Multi-scalar-tensor gravity admits an exact covariant thermodynamic interpretation as an imperfect fluid whose heat flux involves a coupling-derived factor χ and a residual gradient sector, yielding multi-field thermal diagnostics and a GR-attractor criterion that is stricter than simple freezing of
Non-polynomial quasi-topological gravity models reproduce the standard thermal history, generate dynamical dark energy of geometric origin, and fit supernova, cosmic chronometer, and BAO data competitively with ΛCDM.
Rotating black holes with primary scalar hair in beyond Horndeski gravity produce shadows whose diameter increases for negative Q and whose distortion increases for positive Q, with EHT bounds on M87* restricting but not ruling out the (a, Q) parameter space.
Galileon models must obey a void-depth limit tied to expansion history to avoid force breakdowns, excluding ~60% of a linear parameterization's space by z less than or equal to 10.
New exact charged black hole solutions in (2+1)D f(Q) gravity with cubic form yield a novel AdS solution without GR counterpart, with multiple horizons, stable thermodynamics, and stable photon orbits.
The cosmic tetrarchy decomposes BAO-based measurements into four channels that isolate distinct assumptions to test whether the dimensionless sound-horizon ratio remains a single redshift-independent number.
A minimal dark SU(2)_D model with anomaly cancellation and Z4 symmetry generates a rank-two Dirac neutrino mass matrix enforcing one exactly massless neutrino.
Model-independent reconstruction shows that early-universe modifications resolving the Hubble tension exist at the background level, requiring a smooth ~15% pre-recombination expansion rate enhancement.
Two-field axion-like early dark energy reduces Hubble tension to 1.5 sigma residual and improves high-ell CMB fits over single-field models.
A new null test is proposed to isolate cosmologies with non-FLRW observational relations by characterizing how they violate curvature-consistency tests of the standard FLRW framework.
Scalar and tensor perturbations in Jordan-frame scalar-tensor gravity admit an exact linear-order Eckart effective-fluid description, with gravitational-wave damping governed by the scalar sector's transverse-traceless anisotropic stress.
Sign-switching dark energy with a transition at z_† fits recent DESI DR2, Planck CMB, and Pantheon+ data better than ΛCDM while raising the inferred Hubble constant and easing the Hubble tension.
KiDS-Legacy weak lensing plus CMB data yields a 3 sigma deviation in light deflection from GR in a Lambda CDM background, with the signal driven by large-scale CMB lensing amplitudes.
Relativistic N-body simulations of Lambda_s CDM produce a redshift-dependent crest in the matter power spectrum ratio, peaking at 20-25% near the transition and leaving a 15-20% uplift at z=0 on group scales.
Generalizing the host galaxy dispersion measure distribution in FRB cosmology with 125 events produces Hubble constant estimates consistent with Planck 2018 and SH0ES while strongly favoring these models over narrow-prior alternatives on feedback strength.
A scale-invariant model uses a diluting-matter-dependent potential to connect early and late dark energy via tunneling, alleviating the Hubble tension with best-fit early dark energy fraction ~0.3 at z~5000.
Derives a new class of stable models with two massless scalars and one massless spin-2 particle from a rank-2 tensor theory by imposing linearized transverse diffeomorphism invariance and massless spin-2 propagation, using a gauge-invariant Bardeen variable approach.
Phenomenological extension of the PNJL model introduces a curvature-sensitive term proportional to (H/H0)^d that behaves as effective dark energy at late times and fits low-redshift data competitively with ΛCDM.
EDE models increase inferred α_s from CMB data, strengthening tension with USR PBH models that predict negative running.
In symmetric teleparallel f(Q) gravity with nonminimal EM-nonmetricity coupling, the distance duality relation is dynamically violated, yielding a generalized formula relating observational distances to the Hubble rate.
Rotating traversable wormholes in f(R,T) gravity are supported by anisotropic fluid satisfying null and strong energy conditions in the slow-rotation approximation, with particle dynamics and gravitational lensing analyzed.
Modified gravity below O(10) Mpc in a CPL dynamical dark energy background is required to suppress structure growth at low redshifts while satisfying CMB constraints from ISW and lensing.
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Cosmic Strings as Dynamical Dark Energy: Novel Constraints
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Running Vacuum in the expanding Universe: a unified QFT paradigm for Inflation and Dark Energy
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Early- and Late-Time Modifications to $\Lambda$CDM: Implications for the Hubble Tension
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Dark Energy in Ghost-free non-local Gravity
Ghost-free non-local gravity fits Pantheon+, DESI, and H(z) data but fails with added CMB, while generalized exponential F(R) gravity outperforms Lambda CDM across all datasets including CMB.
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Machine Learning for Multi-messenger Probes of New Physics and Cosmology: A Review and Perspective
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The Quintom theory of dark energy after DESI DR2
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