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Every paper Pith has read. Search by title, abstract, or pith.
360 papers in econ · page 1
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Extended SBA adds two-layer architecture for strategic scenarios
Extended Scenario Bundle Analysis: A Formal Framework for Strategic Scenario Modeling
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Signal precision can lower screening accuracy when high
Pitfall of Precision in Noisy Signaling
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Grid growth faster than r_n to the 1/4 ensures valid uniform inference
A Grid-Rate Condition for Valid Uniform Inference
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CVaR breaks standard persuasion reduction yet yields polynomial LP
Bayesian Persuasion with a Risk-Conscious Receiver
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Nash product rule limits manipulation gain to factor of 2
Approximate Strategyproofness in Approval-based Budget Division
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More AI can lower productivity via skill and reliability feedback
Human-AI Productivity Paradoxes: Modeling the Interplay of Skill, Effort, and AI Assistance
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Covariance between prices and order flow equals value of information
The Value of Information: A Puzzle
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Repeated voting incurs sublinear welfare cost for fairness
The Price of Proportional Representation in Temporal Voting
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Moments made orthogonal to any order with fixed extra parameters
Higher-Order Neyman Orthogonality in Moment-Condition Models
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Equilibrium in NeuroAI stabilizes neural
A Theory of Multilevel Interactive Equilibrium in NeuroAI
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This paper introduces two new stability measures for Bayesian decisions under prior…
Robust Bayes Acts under Prior Perturbations: Contamination, Stability, and Selection Paths
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Leverage scales price manipulation but shifts outcome thresholds
Manipulation, Insider Information, and Regulation in Leveraged Event-Linked Markets
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Model checking maps stronger transients to macro-financial parameters in K+S economy
Statistical Model Checking of the Keynes+Schumpeter Model: A Transient Sensitivity Analysis of a Macroeconomic ABM
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AI boosts solo entries but teams top the charts
Generative AI Fuels Solo Entrepreneurship, but Teams Still Lead at the Top
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Skill premium rise causes one gender to fully invest and the other less
Skill Premia and Pre-Marital Investments in Marriage Markets
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Inequality in job search effort lowers matching rates
The Matching Function: A Unified Look into the Black Box
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Hybrid booster adds linear terms to trees for macro forecasts
LGB+: A Macroeconomic Forecasting Road Test
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Risk-adjusted metrics favor professional forecasters
Quantifying the Risk-Return Tradeoff in Forecasting
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Contagion drives off-grid solar from spread to fill-in
From Expansion to Consolidation: Socio-Spatial Contagion Dynamics in Off-Grid PV Adoption
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Off-grid solar spreads via contagion that expands then consolidates
From Expansion to Consolidation: Socio-Spatial Contagion Dynamics in Off-Grid PV Adoption
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Historical GWP data forecasts economic explosion by 2047
On the probability distribution of long-term changes in the growth rate of the global economy: An outside view
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Control-system model breaks middle-income trap
Engineering Economy: A New Paradigm for Escaping the Middle-Income Trap
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Non-CARA preferences leave prices only partially revealing
On the Possibility of Informationally Inefficient Markets Without Noise
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Deleting actions shifts equilibria that price tweaks leave stuck
Changing the Game: Status-Quo Inertia, Institutional Design, and Equilibrium Transition
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Secret messages with deniability reveal only state cutoffs
Secret Communication with Plausible Deniability
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Conditions ensure correct Heuristic Rating Estimation
Sufficient conditions for a Heuristic Rating Estimation Method application
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Only one rule aggregates multiple Elo ratings while obeying three consistency axioms
Aggregating Elo Ratings: An Axiomatization
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ChatGPT availability leaves high school test scores unchanged
Little Impact of ChatGPT Availability on High School Student Test Score Performance
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Spanish inflation decoupled from money supply growth after 1600
The Phase Structure of Metallic Money: An MPTT Framework for the Spanish Price Revolution
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GRU nowcasts Italian municipal income from nightlights at 4% median error
Nowcasting Italian Municipal Income with Nightlights: A Deep Learning Approach
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Nonparametric EB intervals reach nominal coverage asymptotically
Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals
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Rolling calibration window optimizes conformal coverage for time series
Rolling-Origin Conformal Prediction under Local Stationarity and Weak Dependence
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AI Changes Incidence and Visibility of Econometric Failures
Vibe Econometrics and the Analysis Contract
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Nash equilibria defined from ordinal rankings alone
Nash without Numbers: A Social Choice Approach to Mixed Equilibria in Context-Ordinal Games
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Non-affine approvals force miscalibration in all proper scoring rules
The Endogeneity of Miscalibration: Impossibility and Escape in Scored Reporting
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Money burning clears aggregate NTU matchings at fixed prices
Aggregate Stable Matching with Money Burning
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Partial statistics disclosure expands implementable game outcomes
Coordination Mechanisms with Partially Specified Probabilities
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Self-normalized CUSUM tests remove bandwidth choices from forecast comparisons
Self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability
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Pensions increase births but reduce child mental-health investments
Mental Health and Human Capital Composition in a Dynastic OLG Model with PAYG Pensions
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Neural method delivers valid bounds on individual causal effects
Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks
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Response times identify average preferences from single anonymous choices
Response Time Enhances Alignment with Heterogeneous Preferences
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Feedback models bring dynamic causality into economics teaching
Introducing Feedback Thinking and System Dynamics Modeling in Economics Education
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Folk theorem for LLMs sustains any rational outcome as ε-equilibrium
Sustaining Cooperation in Populations Guided by AI: A Folk Theorem for LLMs
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Orthogonal moments remove incidental bias in two-way panel regressions
Inference on Linear Regressions with Two-Way Unobserved Heterogeneity
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RL agents narrow equity gaps in NYC 311 complaint routing
Scaling the Queue: Reinforcement Learning for Equitable Call Classification Capacity in NYC Municipal Complaint Systems
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EFX fails even for symmetric submodular valuations with three agents
Counterexamples to EFX for Submodular and Subadditive Valuations
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Trade isolation could cut global calories by 22%
Cascading disruptions in natural gas, fertilizers, and crops drive structural food supply vulnerabilities globally
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Neyman score dictates balancing in debiased machine learning
Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning
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Migration reduces elderly share in Swiss municipalities
Migration-Driven Demographic Changes: effects on local communities in the canton of Fribourg
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Method yields undominated ex ante stable school lotteries
A Simple Method for School Choice Lotteries