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359 papers in stat.TH · page 2

  1. econ.EM 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Nonparametric EB intervals reach nominal coverage asymptotically

    Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals

    Zhen Xie

  2. cs.LG 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Attention selectivity emerges at scale n^{2/(d-1)}

    Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers

    Giuseppe Bruno +4

  3. stat.ML 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Sinkhorn divergence tests full distributional treatment effects

    Sinkhorn Treatment Effects: A Causal Optimal Transport Measure

    Alex Luedtke +1

  4. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Boundary LRTs converge to supremum of bar-chi-squared process

    Asymptotics for likelihood ratio tests of boundary points with singular information and unidentifiable nuisance parameters

    J. M. Patrik Albin +3

  5. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    LRT asymptotics stay sup of bar-chi process with unidentifiable nuisance

    Asymptotics for likelihood ratio tests of boundary points with singular information and unidentifiable nuisance parameters

    J. M. Patrik Albin +3

  6. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Log d time recovers latent Hawkes networks

    On Observation Time for Recovering Latent Hawkes Networks

    Ivan Dokmani\'c +4

  7. stat.ML 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Bounded Gaussian surface area allows non-negative L1 approximations

    A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials

    Anay Mehrotra +2

  8. stat.ME 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Estimator resists both row-wide and single-cell outliers in regression

    Cellwise and Casewise Robust Multivariate Regression with Inference

    Fabio Centofanti +2

  9. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Joint location-scale minimization degenerates on product manifolds

    Scale selection for geometric medians on product manifolds

    Kisung You

  10. cs.LG 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Susceptibility matrix acts as Jacobian for data-to-structure map

    Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning

    Chris Elliott +1

  11. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Susceptibility estimators consistent in singular models

    Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models

    Chris Elliott +1

  12. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Sinc kernel beats others for moderate-sample density estimates

    Density Estimation Using the Sinc Kernel

    Ingrid Kristine Glad +2

  13. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Runge-Kutta Langevin method hits O(d^{3/2}h^{3/2}) rate without log-concavity

    Accelerating Langevin Monte Carlo via Efficient Stochastic Runge--Kutta Methods beyond Log-Concavity

    Bin Yang +1

  14. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Belief functions enable inference from scarce data without probabilities

    Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey

    Fabio Cuzzolin

  15. stat.ML 2026-05-08 reviewed
    EM convergence governed by missing-information operator

    Expectation-Maximization as a Spectrally Governed Relaxation Flow

    Qiao Wang

  16. math.OC 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Medoid gradients achieve O(1/T) convergence under infinite-variance noise

    Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling

    Dusan Jakovetic +1

  17. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    FHDMs match minimax rates for spherical data

    Statistical Convergence of Spherical First Hitting Diffusion Models

    Lukas Trottner +1

  18. math.ST 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Self-normalized CUSUM tests remove bandwidth choices from forecast comparisons

    Self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability

    Qitong Chen +1

  19. cs.IT 2026-05-08 reviewed
    MLE attains sub-Gaussian tails and entropic normality

    Sub-Gaussian Concentration and Entropic Normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator

    Alex Dytso +1

  20. stat.ML 2026-05-08 reviewed
    Fixed neural networks with definable layers have finite PAC sample complexity

    Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity

    Anastasis Kratsios +4

  21. math.PR 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Fluctuations in SK and Wigner models converge to Gaussians

    Universality of the fluctuations of the free energy in generalized Sherrington-Kirkpatrick models and the log likelihood ratio in spiked Wigner models

    Hyunsuk Choo +2

  22. cs.AI 2026-05-07 reviewed
    The paper introduces a hypothesis testing framework for adaptive auditing of AI systems…

    Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees

    Jean Feng +4

  23. stat.ML 2026-05-07 reviewed
    ABGD recovers piecewise linear models with near-minimax samples

    Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions

    Haitham Kanj +1

  24. math.ST 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Mixing measures contract in infinite location-scale mixtures

    Convergence Rates for Latent Mixing Measures in Infinite Homoscedastic Location-Scale Mixture Models

    Alessandro Rinaldo +3

  25. math.ST 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Reward early stops to make anytime tests time-sensitive

    Time-sensitive anytime-valid testing

    Eugenio Clerico +3

  26. stat.ML 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Threshold post-processing meets risk constraints with minimal baseline change

    Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies

    Edgar Dobriban +3

  27. math.ST 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Eigenfunction rates split into sampling and grid terms

    Minimax estimation of Functional Principal Components from noisy discretized functional data: the case of smooth processes

    Angelina Roche +3

  28. econ.EM 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Neyman score dictates balancing in debiased machine learning

    Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning

    Masahiro Kato

  29. cs.LG 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Binary preferences keep GRPO gradients aligned via Taylor expansion

    A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment

    Hao Yu

  30. math.NA 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Low-rank kernel operator learned once and reused for all option exercise dates

    Low-rank kernel methods for American option pricing

    Chiara Segala +2

  31. math.ST 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Time-position preconditioner unifies mode coverage and local exploration

    Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics

    Alexander Falk +3

  32. cs.LG 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Uniform convergence for halfspaces is tight in high dimensions but improves in 2D

    A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces

    Aryeh Kontorovich +1

  33. stat.ML 2026-05-07 reviewed
    CITE certifies target answers as LLM response modes with anytime-valid guarantees

    CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency

    Hirofumi Ota +4

  34. stat.ML 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Ratio-based losses track relative errors via y over f(x)

    Ratio-based Loss Functions

    Andreas Christmann +1

  35. math.ST 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Kernel gradient flows match minimax uniform rates

    Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator

    Qian Lin +2

  36. stat.ME 2026-05-07 reviewed
    Stein characterization yields omnibus test for discrete Pareto

    A Stein Characterization-type Omnibus Tests for the Discrete Pareto Distribution

    Bruno Ebner +2

  37. econ.TH 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Counterfactual utilities satisfy vNM axioms on potential outcomes

    An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility

    Benedikt Koch +2

  38. stat.ME 2026-05-06 reviewed
    RG analysis yields lattice design rules and regularization scaling for GLMs

    A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models

    Joshua C. Chang

  39. math.ST 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Direct estimator gives finite-sample bounds for Schr odinger bridge drifts

    Direct Estimation of Schr\"odinger Bridge Time-Series Drifts: Finite-Sample, Asymptotic, and Adaptive Guarantees

    Huy\^en Pham +1

  40. cs.IT 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Information theory bounds learning generalization and estimation risk

    Information-theoretic Limits of Learning and Estimation

    Abbas El Gamal +1

  41. math.ST 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Symmetrization keeps Spearman's rho but erases copula asymmetry

    Concordance, symmetrization and non-exchangeability for bivariate copulas

    \'Avaro Rodr\'iguez-Garc\'ia +1

  42. math.ST 2026-05-06 reviewed
    High-dimensional statistics connects to optimization and random matrices

    High-Dimensional Statistics: Reflections on Progress and Open Problems

    Ali Shojaie +11

  43. cs.LG 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Adaptivity advantages shift under ReLU realizability

    Adaptivity Under Realizability Constraints: Comparing In-Context and Agentic Learning

    A. Martina Neuman +2

  44. stat.ME 2026-05-06 reviewed
    U-statistic test checks high-dim white noise without independence

    Tests for white noise via asymptotically independent U-statistics in high-dimensions

    Yuanya Xu

  45. quant-ph 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Adaptive mixture test achieves optimal quantum error exponents

    Optimal Error Exponents for Composite Sequential Quantum Hypothesis Testing

    Efstratios Palias +2

  46. quant-ph 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Adaptive test achieves optimal error exponents in quantum composite testing

    Optimal Error Exponents for Composite Sequential Quantum Hypothesis Testing

    Efstratios Palias +2

  47. math.PR 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Extending sigma-algebra restores L1-L∞ duality for uncertain measures

    Can the $L^1$-$L^\infty$ duality be restored for non-dominated families of probability measures?

    Georg K\"ostenberger +1

  48. stat.ML 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Isotropic normalization yields consistent dynamic network trajectories

    Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories: Second-Moment Geometry, Attribution, and Change Points

    Haruka Ezoe +1

  49. stat.ML 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Normalization removes ambiguity from network time trajectories

    Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories: Second-Moment Geometry, Attribution, and Change Points

    Haruka Ezoe +1

  50. math.ST 2026-05-06 reviewed
    Generic kernels place models transversely to degeneracy loci

    Transversality and Geometric Regularisation in Distributional Statistical Models

    R. Labouriau